Portfolio Project

Pizza Tips Regression Modeling

Excel Analytics & Regression Modeling

Analytics Excel Statistics AWS

Adjust inputs and estimate a tip using the regression model.

  • Use the delivery slider to load an example ticket (or enter values directly).
  • Edit order cost and other inputs (housing, time, weather) to test scenarios.
  • Click “Estimate Tip” to see the prediction.
  • Use “Reset” to return to defaults.

STAR Summary

Situation
Tips varied a lot by neighborhood and housing type. I wanted to see what actually drives them.
Task
Owned the end-to-end build, from implementation through the final deliverable.
Action
  • Merged 1,251 delivery tickets with NOAA weather, then cleaned the data in Power Query.
  • Ran a multiple regression in Excel: Tip = f(cost, delivery time, rain, max/min temperature).
Result
  • Order cost was the strongest predictor of tip size in the regression.
  • Housing type (apartment vs. house) showed a statistically significant difference in this sample.
  • Weather and delivery time didn’t show a meaningful effect on tip size.