Portfolio Project

Pizza Tips Regression Modeling

Excel Analytics & Regression Modeling

Analytics Excel Statistics
Preview image for Pizza Tips Regression Modeling

Context

Tip income swung wildly across neighborhoods and housing types, but drivers had no data-backed story to explain the variation.

Approach

  • Merged 1,251 delivery tickets with NOAA weather, then cleaned the data in Power Query.
  • Ran a multiple regression in Excel: Tip = f(cost, delivery time, rain, max/min temperature).

Impact

  • Order cost explains about 38% of tip variance; every extra $10 on the bill lifts the tip by about $1.10.
  • Apartment customers tip 28% less than house residents (p < 0.001).
  • Weather and delivery time showed no significant effect on tip size.

Links